THUR 01 JAN 2015 – SHA TIN

THUR 01 JAN 2015 – SHA TIN

Greetings all. Lucky 8 Racing stepped out for New Year in fine style with 6 dividends across 6 priority races including Optimization Star ($12.65) and Dane Patrol ($12.45). We also collected 2 bonus quinella's in Races 8 & 11. Read all about it here!

 

Race 1 – Nil Priority

Class 5 races are the lowest class of race. Occasionally they provide good betting value but not in this particular case.

Race 2 – Nil Priority

This race does not have enough runners to offer a value betting market.

Race 3 – Priority 6

Win/Place

Name Price* Units* Comments
8 Idyllic Wind 3.25 34.0 Got within ¾ L of the winner following a deep run in midfield when resuming in a Valley sprint last month after a tendon injury and is certainly better suited over this Sha Tin trip.
7 Goldweaver 4.00 27.5 Had been threatening in his opening three runs before fighting back after being headed by Floral Man for a bob of heads course and distance win in November.
1 Golden Osmanthus 5.50 20.0 Disregard previous start. Previously ran a close 2nd with 133lb and has the services of Prebble here.
12 Optimization Star 5.50 20.0 Rallied well to go close in three straight runs at this track before a tiring ninth after a change of tactics. Can show true colours if ridden patiently by Rispoli.

* Suggested Prices & Units

Quinella

Combination Units*
8 – 7 22.0
8 – 1 17.5
8 – 12 17.5
7 – 1 15.5
7 – 12 15.5
1 – 12 12.0

*Suggested Units

Race 4 – Nil Priority

There is not enough current form in this race and therefore too much is unpredictable.

Race 5 – Priority 5

Win/Place

Name Price* Units* Comments
1 Sunny Pearl 2.90 38.0 Hasn’t been up to the challenge in two recent Class 3’s following a near pillar-to-post course and distance win in season debut in October at this level.
2 Charity Kingdom 4.75 23.0 Improved on a battling 4th to Collagen following a drop in Class for a closing third to Silver Dragon at the Valley after going back from a difficult draw.
12 Plain Blue Banner 5.50 20.0 Was a rallying 2nd and pace-stalking 4th over the Valley mile in this Class following two sound Class 5 performances over this distance.
13 Sparkling Sword 6.50 17.0 In very good form this season including last start Class 5 win at this track and distance.

* Suggested Prices & Units

Quinella

Combination Units*
1 – 2 23.0
1 – 12 20.5
1 – 13 18.5
2 – 12 14.5
2 – 13 12.5
12 – 13 11.0

*Suggested Units

Race 6 – Priority 4

Win/Place

Name Price* Units* Comments
1 Reborn To Win 3.0 36.5 Rates stronglydown at this level based on a respectable course and distance fifth behind the exciting Selkirk Star two runs back.
13 Winning Novel 3.5 31.5 Very well weighted here on last start ¾ L second to Contentment at this track.
8 Rugby Ambassador 7.0 16.0 Past 3 runs have been solid and keeps producing good ratings. Star rider Guyon takes charge here.
9 Bear-Pop 7.0 16.0 Lightly raced AUS 3yo from the Moore stable with Whyte taking the mount today.

* Suggested Prices & Units

Quinella

Combination Units*
1 – 13 26.0
1 – 8 17.0
1 – 9 17.0
13 – 8 15.0
13 – 9 15.0
8 – 9 9.00

*Suggested Units

Race 7 – Nil Priority

There are very few rated chances or consequent value bets forecast for this race.

Race 8 – Priority 3

Win/Place

Name Price* Units* Comments
4 Country Melody 2.1 52.5 Needs to defy a rise in weight and tough draw but won easily against a decent Class 3 field 12 days ago and has the ability to extend winning streak to 3 over the Sha Tin 1000m.
6 Free November 6.5 17.0 Made a nice impression despite being held up at the 700m to get going from beyond midfield in a debut course and distance 5th behind Lovely Delovely.
12 Sugar 6.5 17.0 Handy run recently when 6th behind Country Melody and had caught the eye to fill the frame in four previous course and distance runs, including two wins.
5 Dane Patrol 8.0 14.0 Is a winner 7 times over this course and distance. Form steady this season.

* Suggested Prices & Units

Quinella

Combination Units*
4 – 6 24.5
4 – 12 24.5
4 – 5 22.0
6 – 12 10.5
6 – 5 9.00
12 – 5 9.00

*Suggested Units

Race 9 – Nil Priority

This race does not have enough runners to offer a value betting market.

Race 10 – Priority 1

Win/Place

Name Price* Units* Comments
2 Gorgeous Debut 3.0 37.0 Good run last start when only 2 ¾ L from the winner. Champion jockey Whyte takes the mount for this race.
5 Cheeky Too 3.5 31.5 Did show ability to win 3 times over 1400m from 5 outings as a 3yo in Britain and is well prepared by the Moore stable.
6 Da Vinci 3.5 31.5 Ran a cracker to just miss in his debut behind Clever Beaver in October over this trip and lead-up work has been good.

* Suggested Prices & Units

Quinella

Combination Units*
2 – 5 19.5
2 – 6 19.5
2 – 9 15.5
5 – 6 17.5
5 – 9 14.0
6 – 9 14.0

*Suggested Units

Race 11 – Priority 2

Win/Place

Name Price* Units* Comments
8 Ishvara 3.00 36.5 Won well from Brilliant Dream when resuming over 1400m before passing first test over the mile with a late surge to grab 2nd behind Celestial Smile.
7 Celestial Smile 4.25 26.0 Continues to ascend the ratings ladder when defying a hard run behind the leader from a wide gate for a course and distance win over rival Ishvara.
6 Winning Instinct 6.00 18.5 Not far off the finish in first 3 runs this season including an All-Weather-Track second over 1200m and had some excuses after being checked at the start over this course and distance last time out.
9 Verdane 6.00 18.5 In fine form this season with 3 wins from 5 starts including a breakthrough win last start at Class 3.

* Suggested Prices & Units

Quinella

Combination Units*
8 – 7 23.0
8 – 6 18.5
8 – 9 18.5
7 – 6 14.5
7 – 9 14.5
6 – 9 11.0

*Suggested Units

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